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Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

AAP Stock Forecast

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) stock forecast, based on 44 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $56.67, with a high of $63.00 and a low of $40.00. This represents a 7.61% increase from the last price of $52.66.

$35 $46 $57 $68 $79 $90 High: $63 Avg: $56.67 Low: $40 Last Closed Price: $52.66

AAP Stock Rating

Advance Auto Parts stock's rating consensus is Hold, based on 44 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy (0.00%), 12 Buy (27.27%), 27 Hold (61.36%), 5 Sell (11.36%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Hold
Total 44 5 27 12 0 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

AAP Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockAdvance Auto Parts7.61%
SectorConsumer Cyclical Stocks 12.30%
IndustrySpecialty Retail Stocks 38.07%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts61327
Avg Price Target$59.17$55.62$53.93
Last Closing Price$52.66$52.66$52.66
Upside/Downside12.36%5.62%2.41%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Mar, 26-2221227
Feb, 26-2231228
Jan, 26-1241228
Dec, 25-1241228
Nov, 25-1241228
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Feb 19, 2026Roth Capital$57.00$55.442.81%8.24%
Feb 17, 2026Truist Financial$57.00$56.910.16%8.24%
Feb 17, 2026Steven ShemeshRBC Capital$63.00$56.8510.82%19.64%
Feb 17, 2026D.A. Davidson$58.00$56.901.93%10.14%
Feb 17, 2026Simeon GutmanMorgan Stanley$60.00$58.133.22%13.94%
Feb 17, 2026Tristan Thomas-MartinBMO Capital$60.00$58.851.95%13.94%
Feb 11, 2026Greg MelichEvercore ISI$60.00$58.442.67%13.94%
Feb 04, 2026RBC Capital$57.00$53.915.73%8.24%
Jan 21, 2026Northcoast Research$55.00$43.8825.34%4.44%
Jan 15, 2026Simeon GutmanMorgan Stanley$45.00$42.884.94%-14.55%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Feb 19, 2026Roth CapitalNeutralNeutralhold
Feb 17, 2026RBC CapitalSector PerformSector Performhold
Feb 17, 2026Cowen & Co.HoldHoldhold
Feb 17, 2026BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket Performhold
Feb 09, 2026UBSNeutralNeutralhold
Jan 21, 2026CitigroupNeutralBuyupgrade
Jan 20, 2026Cowen & Co.HoldHoldhold
Dec 15, 2025Bank of America SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformhold
Oct 31, 2025CitigroupNeutralNeutralhold
Oct 31, 2025BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket Performhold

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

$-10 $-5 $0 $5 $10 $15 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$9.62$7.70$0.50$-5.63$0.73---
Avg Forecast$11.94$12.60$1.73$-0.39$1.55$2.97$4.15$7.39
High Forecast$12.34$12.85$1.81$-0.24$2.10$3.69$6.00$7.56
Low Forecast$10.97$12.43$1.56$-0.66$0.92$2.21$2.98$7.25
Surprise %-19.43%-38.89%-71.10%1343.59%-52.90%---

Revenue Forecast

$8B $9B $9B $10B $11B $12B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$11.00B$9.15B$9.21B$9.09B$8.60B---
Avg Forecast$10.96B$11.10B$11.28B$9.13B$8.52B$8.56B$8.72B$9.34B
High Forecast$11.25B$11.27B$11.32B$9.18B$8.68B$8.57B$8.75B$9.50B
Low Forecast$10.28B$10.99B$11.21B$9.09B$8.42B$8.55B$8.70B$9.20B
Surprise %0.31%-17.57%-18.36%-0.35%0.96%---

Net Income Forecast

$-500M $-200M $100M $400M $700M $1B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$596.62M$464.40M$29.73M$-335.79M$44.00M---
Avg Forecast$711.83M$750.90M$29.73M$-26.80M$90.99M$170.77M$242.12M$440.50M
High Forecast$735.64M$766.03M$35.68M$-14.32M$125.19M$220.21M$357.66M$450.79M
Low Forecast$654.15M$741.06M$23.79M$-39.28M$54.59M$132.00M$177.48M$432.26M
Surprise %-16.19%-38.15%-1152.85%-51.64%---

AAP Forecast FAQ

Is Advance Auto Parts stock a buy?

Advance Auto Parts stock has a consensus rating of Hold, based on 44 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy, 12 Buy, 27 Hold, 5 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Advance Auto Parts is a neutral investment for most analysts.

What is Advance Auto Parts's price target?

Advance Auto Parts's price target, set by 44 Wall Street analysts, averages $56.67 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $40 at the low end to $63 at the high end, suggesting a potential 7.61% change from the previous closing price of $52.66.

How does Advance Auto Parts stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Advance Auto Parts's stock forecast shows a 7.61% upside, underperforming the average forecast for the consumer cyclical stocks sector (12.30%) and underperforming the specialty retail stocks industry (38.07%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Advance Auto Parts over the past three months?

  • March 2026: 0% Strong Buy, 7.41% Buy, 81.48% Hold, 3.70% Sell, 7.41% Strong Sell.
  • February 2026: 0% Strong Buy, 7.14% Buy, 82.14% Hold, 3.57% Sell, 7.14% Strong Sell.
  • January 2026: 0% Strong Buy, 3.57% Buy, 85.71% Hold, 3.57% Sell, 7.14% Strong Sell.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s EPS forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $2.97, marking a 306.85% increase from the reported $0.73 in 2025. Estimates for the following years are $4.15 in 2027, and $7.39 in 2028.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s revenue forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $8.56B, reflecting a -0.49% decrease from the reported $8.6B in 2025. The forecast for 2027 is $8.72B, and $9.34B for 2028.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s net income forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2026 stands at $170.77M, representing an 288.11% increase from the reported $44M in 2025. Projections indicate $242.12M in 2027, and $440.5M in 2028.