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Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

AAP Stock Forecast

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) stock forecast, based on 36 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $42.50, with a high of $50.00 and a low of $35.00. This represents a -16.36% decline from the last price of $50.81.

$35 $46 $57 $68 $79 $90 High: $50 Avg: $42.5 Low: $35 Last Closed Price: $50.81

AAP Stock Rating

Advance Auto Parts stock's rating consensus is Hold, based on 36 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy (0.00%), 13 Buy (36.11%), 20 Hold (55.56%), 3 Sell (8.33%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Hold
Total 36 3 20 13 0 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

AAP Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockAdvance Auto Parts-16.36%
SectorConsumer Cyclical Stocks 16.11%
IndustrySpecialty Retail Stocks 23.92%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts229
Avg Price Target$42.50$42.50$50.56
Last Closing Price$50.81$50.81$50.81
Upside/Downside-16.36%-16.36%-0.49%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Jun, 25-125-228
May, 2512231229
Apr, 2512231229
Mar, 2512231229
Feb, 25-2231228
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
May 28, 2025Scott StemberRoth Capital$50.00$52.71-5.14%-1.59%
May 19, 2025Zachary FademWells Fargo$35.00$34.381.80%-31.12%
Nov 15, 2024Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$39.00$38.710.75%-23.24%
Sep 12, 2024David BellingerMizuho Securities$38.00$39.12-2.86%-25.21%
Aug 26, 2024David BellingerMizuho Securities$45.00$49.64-9.35%-11.43%
Aug 23, 2024Christopher HorversJ.P. Morgan$43.00$49.15-12.51%-15.37%
Aug 23, 2024Bret JordanJefferies$85.00$49.6371.27%67.29%
Aug 22, 2024Laura ChampineWedbush$65.00$61.924.97%27.93%
Aug 22, 2024Christopher HorversJ.P. Morgan$55.00$61.92-11.18%8.25%
Jun 10, 2024David BellingerMizuho Securities$64.00$64.58-0.90%25.96%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
May 28, 2025Roth CapitalNeutralNeutralhold
May 23, 2025UBSNeutralNeutralhold
May 23, 2025Cowen & Co.HoldHoldhold
May 23, 2025BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket Performhold
May 22, 2025Goldman SachsNeutralNeutralhold
Nov 15, 2024CitigroupNeutralNeutralhold
Oct 15, 2024Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-Weighthold
Oct 15, 2024WedbushHoldOutperformupgrade
Sep 12, 2024WedbushHoldHoldhold
Aug 26, 2024WedbushSector PerformSector Performhold

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

$-10 $-5 $0 $5 $10 $15 Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$7.17$9.62$8.32$0.50$-5.63----
Avg Forecast$8.60$11.94$12.60$1.73$-0.39$1.55$2.97$4.15$7.39
High Forecast$8.89$12.34$12.85$1.81$-0.24$2.10$3.69$6.00$7.56
Low Forecast$7.90$10.97$12.43$1.56$-0.66$0.92$2.21$2.98$7.25
Surprise %-16.63%-19.43%-33.97%-71.10%1343.59%----

Revenue Forecast

$8B $9B $9B $10B $11B $12B Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$10.11B$11.00B$11.15B$11.29B$9.09B----
Avg Forecast$10.11B$10.96B$11.10B$11.28B$9.13B$8.52B$8.56B$8.72B$9.34B
High Forecast$10.37B$11.25B$11.27B$11.32B$9.18B$8.68B$8.57B$8.75B$9.50B
Low Forecast$9.48B$10.28B$10.99B$11.21B$9.09B$8.42B$8.55B$8.70B$9.20B
Surprise %0.01%0.31%0.50%0.07%-0.35%----

Net Income Forecast

$-500M $-200M $100M $400M $700M $1B Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$493.02M$596.62M$464.40M$29.73M$-335.79M----
Avg Forecast$512.65M$711.83M$750.90M$29.73M$-26.80M$90.99M$170.77M$242.12M$440.50M
High Forecast$529.80M$735.64M$766.03M$35.68M$-14.32M$125.19M$220.21M$357.66M$450.79M
Low Forecast$471.11M$654.15M$741.06M$23.79M$-39.28M$54.59M$132.00M$177.48M$432.26M
Surprise %-3.83%-16.19%-38.15%-1152.85%----

AAP Forecast FAQ

Is Advance Auto Parts stock a buy?

Advance Auto Parts stock has a consensus rating of Hold, based on 36 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy, 13 Buy, 20 Hold, 3 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Advance Auto Parts is a neutral investment for most analysts.

What is Advance Auto Parts's price target?

Advance Auto Parts's price target, set by 36 Wall Street analysts, averages $42.5 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $35 at the low end to $50 at the high end, suggesting a potential -16.36% change from the previous closing price of $50.81.

How does Advance Auto Parts stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Advance Auto Parts's stock forecast shows a -16.36% downside, underperforming the average forecast for the consumer cyclical stocks sector (16.11%) and underperforming the specialty retail stocks industry (23.92%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Advance Auto Parts over the past three months?

  • June 2025: 0% Strong Buy, 3.57% Buy, 89.29% Hold, 0% Sell, 7.14% Strong Sell.
  • May 2025: 3.45% Strong Buy, 6.90% Buy, 79.31% Hold, 3.45% Sell, 6.90% Strong Sell.
  • April 2025: 3.45% Strong Buy, 6.90% Buy, 79.31% Hold, 3.45% Sell, 6.90% Strong Sell.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s EPS forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $1.55, marking a -127.53% decrease from the reported $-5.63 in 2024. Estimates for the following years are $2.97 in 2026, $4.15 in 2027, and $7.39 in 2028.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s revenue forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $8.52B, reflecting a -6.32% decrease from the reported $9.09B in 2024. The forecast for 2026 is $8.56B, followed by $8.72B for 2027, and $9.34B for 2028.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s net income forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2025 stands at $90.99M, representing a -127.10% decrease from the reported $-336M in 2024. Projections indicate $170.77M in 2026, $242.12M in 2027, and $440.5M in 2028.