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Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

AAP Stock Forecast

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) stock forecast, based on 44 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $50.50, with a high of $60.00 and a low of $40.00. This represents a 7.98% increase from the last price of $46.77.

$35 $46 $57 $68 $79 $90 High: $60 Avg: $50.5 Low: $40 Last Closed Price: $46.77

AAP Stock Rating

Advance Auto Parts stock's rating consensus is Hold, based on 44 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy (0.00%), 12 Buy (27.27%), 27 Hold (61.36%), 5 Sell (11.36%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Hold
Total 44 5 27 12 0 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

AAP Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockAdvance Auto Parts7.98%
SectorConsumer Cyclical Stocks 12.30%
IndustrySpecialty Retail Stocks 21.02%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts31019
Avg Price Target$49.00$51.40$51.79
Last Closing Price$46.77$46.77$46.77
Upside/Downside4.77%9.90%10.73%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Jan, 26-1241228
Dec, 25-1241228
Nov, 25-1241228
Oct, 25-1241228
Sep, 25-1231227
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Jan 21, 2026Northcoast Research$55.00$43.8825.34%17.60%
Jan 15, 2026Simeon GutmanMorgan Stanley$45.00$42.884.94%-3.78%
Jan 12, 2026Michael BakerD.A. Davidson$47.00$43.956.94%0.49%
Dec 17, 2025Scot CiccarelliTruist Financial$48.00$43.4010.60%2.63%
Dec 16, 2025Evercore ISI$56.00$43.4129.00%19.73%
Dec 09, 2025Evercore ISI$58.00$51.0813.55%24.01%
Oct 31, 2025D.A. Davidson$55.00$47.6415.45%17.60%
Oct 31, 2025Tristan Thomas-MartinBMO Capital$55.00$50.708.48%17.60%
Oct 30, 2025UBS$40.00$50.70-21.10%-14.48%
Oct 27, 2025Roth Capital$55.00$55.70-1.26%17.60%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jan 21, 2026CitigroupNeutralBuyupgrade
Jan 20, 2026Cowen & Co.HoldHoldhold
Dec 15, 2025Bank of America SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformhold
Oct 31, 2025CitigroupNeutralNeutralhold
Oct 31, 2025BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket Performhold
Oct 30, 2025Bank of America SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformhold
Oct 27, 2025Roth CapitalNeutralNeutralhold
Oct 21, 2025UBSNeutralNeutralhold
Sep 17, 2025Wolfe ResearchPeer Performinitialise
Aug 14, 2025Wells FargoEqual-WeightEqual-Weighthold

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

$-10 $-5 $0 $5 $10 $15 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$9.62$8.32$0.50$-5.63----
Avg Forecast$11.94$12.60$1.73$-0.39$1.55$2.97$4.15$7.39
High Forecast$12.34$12.85$1.81$-0.24$2.10$3.69$6.00$7.56
Low Forecast$10.97$12.43$1.56$-0.66$0.92$2.21$2.98$7.25
Surprise %-19.43%-33.97%-71.10%1343.59%----

Revenue Forecast

$8B $9B $9B $10B $11B $12B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$11.00B$11.15B$11.29B$9.09B----
Avg Forecast$10.96B$11.10B$11.28B$9.13B$8.52B$8.56B$8.72B$9.34B
High Forecast$11.25B$11.27B$11.32B$9.18B$8.68B$8.57B$8.75B$9.50B
Low Forecast$10.28B$10.99B$11.21B$9.09B$8.42B$8.55B$8.70B$9.20B
Surprise %0.31%0.50%0.07%-0.35%----

Net Income Forecast

$-500M $-200M $100M $400M $700M $1B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$596.62M$464.40M$29.73M$-335.79M----
Avg Forecast$711.83M$750.90M$29.73M$-26.80M$90.99M$170.77M$242.12M$440.50M
High Forecast$735.64M$766.03M$35.68M$-14.32M$125.19M$220.21M$357.66M$450.79M
Low Forecast$654.15M$741.06M$23.79M$-39.28M$54.59M$132.00M$177.48M$432.26M
Surprise %-16.19%-38.15%-1152.85%----

AAP Forecast FAQ

Is Advance Auto Parts stock a buy?

Advance Auto Parts stock has a consensus rating of Hold, based on 44 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy, 12 Buy, 27 Hold, 5 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Advance Auto Parts is a neutral investment for most analysts.

What is Advance Auto Parts's price target?

Advance Auto Parts's price target, set by 44 Wall Street analysts, averages $50.5 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $40 at the low end to $60 at the high end, suggesting a potential 7.98% change from the previous closing price of $46.77.

How does Advance Auto Parts stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Advance Auto Parts's stock forecast shows a 7.98% upside, underperforming the average forecast for the consumer cyclical stocks sector (12.30%) and underperforming the specialty retail stocks industry (21.02%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Advance Auto Parts over the past three months?

  • January 2026: 0% Strong Buy, 3.57% Buy, 85.71% Hold, 3.57% Sell, 7.14% Strong Sell.
  • December 2025: 0% Strong Buy, 3.57% Buy, 85.71% Hold, 3.57% Sell, 7.14% Strong Sell.
  • November 2025: 0% Strong Buy, 3.57% Buy, 85.71% Hold, 3.57% Sell, 7.14% Strong Sell.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s EPS forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $1.55, marking a -127.53% decrease from the reported $-5.63 in 2024. Estimates for the following years are $2.97 in 2026, $4.15 in 2027, and $7.39 in 2028.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s revenue forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $8.52B, reflecting a -6.32% decrease from the reported $9.09B in 2024. The forecast for 2026 is $8.56B, followed by $8.72B for 2027, and $9.34B for 2028.

What is Advance Auto Parts’s net income forecast?

Advance Auto Parts's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2025 stands at $90.99M, representing a -127.10% decrease from the reported $-336M in 2024. Projections indicate $170.77M in 2026, $242.12M in 2027, and $440.5M in 2028.