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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

ARI Stock Forecast

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance (ARI) stock forecast, based on 12 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $12.00, with a high of $13.50 and a low of $10.50. This represents a 16.05% increase from the last price of $10.34.

$8 $9 $10 $11 $12 $13 $14 High: $13.5 Avg: $12 Low: $10.5 Last Closed Price: $10.34

ARI Stock Rating

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock's rating consensus is Hold, based on 12 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy (0.00%), 2 Buy (16.67%), 9 Hold (75.00%), 1 Sell (8.33%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Hold
Total 12 0 1 9 2 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

ARI Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockApollo Commercial Real Estate Finance16.05%
SectorReal Estate Stocks 11.61%
IndustryMortgage REIT Stocks21.14%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--1
Avg Price Target--$10.50
Last Closing Price$10.34$10.34$10.34
Upside/Downside--1.55%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Mar, 2622---4
Feb, 26221--5
Jan, 26222-17
Dec, 25212-16
Nov, 25212-16
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Jul 15, 2025Doug HarterUBS$10.50$9.866.49%1.55%
Apr 25, 2022J.P. Morgan$13.50$13.222.12%30.56%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Jul 15, 2025UBSNeutralNeutralhold
May 21, 2025UBSNeutralNeutralhold

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26
Reported$1.48$1.77$0.29$-0.97$0.81-
Avg Forecast$1.43$1.40$1.22$0.44$0.86$1.22
High Forecast$1.53$1.49$1.32$0.53$1.11$1.34
Low Forecast$1.30$1.32$1.22$0.29$0.48$1.10
Surprise %3.50%26.43%-76.23%-320.45%-5.81%-

Revenue Forecast

$200M $310M $420M $530M $640M $750M Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26
Reported$319.28M$641.34M$285.16M$701.53M$271.59M-
Avg Forecast$275.82M$277.20M$305.10M$310.60M$282.30M$256.85M
High Forecast$290.97M$290.23M$309.36M$311.50M$290.90M$272.42M
Low Forecast$257.58M$264.18M$300.83M$309.68M$273.69M$241.27M
Surprise %15.76%131.36%-6.53%125.86%-3.79%-

Net Income Forecast

$-150M $-60M $30M $120M $210M $300M Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26
Reported$223.51M$265.23M$58.13M$-119.64M$126.72M-
Avg Forecast$212.05M$201.65M$41.50M$57.90M$101.80M$172.26M
High Forecast$254.46M$241.98M$49.80M$74.19M$157.51M$189.54M
Low Forecast$169.64M$161.32M$33.20M$41.62M$68.48M$154.98M
Surprise %5.41%31.53%40.06%-306.61%24.48%-

ARI Forecast FAQ

Is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock a buy?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock has a consensus rating of Hold, based on 12 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy, 2 Buy, 9 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance is a neutral investment for most analysts.

What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's price target?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's price target, set by 12 Wall Street analysts, averages $12 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $10.5 at the low end to $13.5 at the high end, suggesting a potential 16.05% change from the previous closing price of $10.34.

How does Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's stock forecast shows a 16.05% upside, outperforming the average forecast for the real estate stocks sector (11.61%) and underperforming the mortgage reit stocks industry (21.14%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance over the past three months?

  • March 2026: 50.00% Strong Buy, 50.00% Buy, 0% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • February 2026: 40.00% Strong Buy, 40.00% Buy, 20.00% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • January 2026: 28.57% Strong Buy, 28.57% Buy, 28.57% Hold, 0% Sell, 14.29% Strong Sell.

What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance’s EPS forecast?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $1.22, marking a 50.62% increase from the reported $0.81 in 2025..

What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance’s revenue forecast?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $256.85M, reflecting a -5.43% decrease from the reported $271.59M in 2025.

What is Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance’s net income forecast?

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2026 stands at $172.26M, representing an 35.94% increase from the reported $126.72M in 2025.