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First Watch Restaurant Group (FWRG) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

FWRG Stock Forecast

First Watch Restaurant Group (FWRG) stock forecast, based on 14 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $19.33, with a high of $21.00 and a low of $17.00. This represents a 7.21% increase from the last price of $18.03.

$15 $17 $19 $21 $23 $25 $26 High: $21 Avg: $19.33 Low: $17 Last Closed Price: $18.03

FWRG Stock Rating

First Watch Restaurant Group stock's rating consensus is Buy, based on 14 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy (7.14%), 11 Buy (78.57%), 2 Hold (14.29%), 0 Sell (0.00%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Buy
Total 14 0 2 11 1 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

FWRG Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockFirst Watch Restaurant Group7.21%
SectorConsumer Cyclical Stocks 9.59%
IndustryRestaurants Stocks 20.31%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts--6
Avg Price Target--$21.00
Last Closing Price$18.03$18.03$18.03
Upside/Downside--16.47%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Oct, 25281--11
Sep, 25281--11
Aug, 25281--11
Jul, 25281--11
Jun, 25281--11
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
May 07, 2025Chris O'CullStifel Nicolaus$17.00$15.996.32%-5.71%
May 07, 2025Brian VaccaroRaymond James$21.00$15.3336.99%16.47%
May 07, 2025Brian MullanPiper Sandler$20.00$15.3330.46%10.93%
Apr 22, 2025Barclays$24.00$19.8820.72%33.11%
Mar 11, 2025Jeffrey BernsteinBernstein$21.00$16.8324.78%16.47%
Nov 11, 2024Brian MullanPiper Sandler$23.00$17.6630.24%27.57%
Oct 16, 2024Jim SaleraStephens$20.00$14.9733.60%10.93%
Jul 02, 2024Chris O'CullStifel Nicolaus$18.00$16.956.19%-0.17%
May 07, 2024Andy BarishJefferies$28.00$21.8528.15%55.30%
Jan 05, 2023Barclays$17.00$13.4826.11%-5.71%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
May 07, 2025Raymond JamesStrong BuyStrong Buyhold
May 07, 2025Piper SandlerOverweightOverweighthold
Apr 22, 2025BarclaysOverweightOverweighthold
Mar 12, 2025BenchmarkBuyBuyhold
Mar 11, 2025BarclaysOverweightOverweighthold
Nov 11, 2024Piper SandlerOverweightOverweighthold
Oct 16, 2024StephensOverweightinitialise
Oct 04, 2024Cowen & Co.UnderperformUnderperformhold
Aug 27, 2024Cowen & Co.BuyBuyhold
Aug 27, 2024BenchmarkBuyinitialise

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$-0.04$0.12$0.43$0.31----
Avg Forecast$-0.04$0.18$0.45$0.32$0.42$0.54$0.50$0.64
High Forecast$-0.04$0.18$0.47$0.36$0.48$0.67$0.51$0.65
Low Forecast$-0.04$0.17$0.44$0.30$0.37$0.43$0.49$0.62
Surprise %--33.33%-4.44%-3.13%----

Revenue Forecast

$500M $800M $1B $1B $2B $2B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$601.19M$730.16M$891.55M$1.02B----
Avg Forecast$598.49M$731.32M$884.11M$1.02B$1.18B$1.34B$1.53B$1.73B
High Forecast$630.06M$744.94M$886.38M$1.03B$1.20B$1.34B$1.54B$1.76B
Low Forecast$586.26M$720.74M$878.99M$995.34M$1.16B$1.34B$1.52B$1.69B
Surprise %0.45%-0.16%0.84%0.01%----

Net Income Forecast

$-5M $5M $15M $25M $35M $45M Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$-2.11M$6.91M$25.39M$18.93M----
Avg Forecast$-2.54M$10.85M$27.95M$20.87M$25.33M$31.43M$31.20M$39.16M
High Forecast$-2.47M$11.11M$28.99M$21.72M$29.41M$40.85M$31.22M$39.96M
Low Forecast$-2.72M$10.65M$26.92M$18.10M$22.35M$26.58M$29.79M$38.14M
Surprise %-17.12%-36.35%-9.19%-9.34%----

FWRG Forecast FAQ

Is First Watch Restaurant Group stock a buy?

First Watch Restaurant Group stock has a consensus rating of Buy, based on 14 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy, 11 Buy, 2 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that First Watch Restaurant Group is a favorable investment for most analysts.

What is First Watch Restaurant Group's price target?

First Watch Restaurant Group's price target, set by 14 Wall Street analysts, averages $19.33 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $17 at the low end to $21 at the high end, suggesting a potential 7.21% change from the previous closing price of $18.03.

How does First Watch Restaurant Group stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

First Watch Restaurant Group's stock forecast shows a 7.21% upside, underperforming the average forecast for the consumer cyclical stocks sector (9.59%) and underperforming the restaurants stocks industry (20.31%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for First Watch Restaurant Group over the past three months?

  • October 2025: 18.18% Strong Buy, 72.73% Buy, 9.09% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • September 2025: 18.18% Strong Buy, 72.73% Buy, 9.09% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • August 2025: 18.18% Strong Buy, 72.73% Buy, 9.09% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.

What is First Watch Restaurant Group’s EPS forecast?

First Watch Restaurant Group's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $0.42, marking a 35.48% increase from the reported $0.31 in 2024. Estimates for the following years are $0.54 in 2026, $0.5 in 2027, and $0.64 in 2028.

What is First Watch Restaurant Group’s revenue forecast?

First Watch Restaurant Group's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $1.18B, reflecting a 15.80% increase from the reported $1.02B in 2024. The forecast for 2026 is $1.34B, followed by $1.53B for 2027, and $1.73B for 2028.

What is First Watch Restaurant Group’s net income forecast?

First Watch Restaurant Group's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2025 stands at $25.33M, representing an 33.85% increase from the reported $18.92M in 2024. Projections indicate $31.42M in 2026, $31.2M in 2027, and $39.16M in 2028.