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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

MPC Stock Forecast

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock forecast, based on 33 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $229.63, with a high of $285.00 and a low of $174.00. This represents a -12.69% decline from the last price of $263.02.

$100 $140 $180 $220 $260 $300 High: $285 Avg: $229.63 Low: $174 Last Closed Price: $263.02

MPC Stock Rating

Marathon Petroleum stock's rating consensus is Buy, based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy (0.00%), 25 Buy (75.76%), 8 Hold (24.24%), 0 Sell (0.00%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Buy
Total 33 0 8 25 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

MPC Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockMarathon Petroleum-12.69%
SectorEnergy Stocks -1.20%
IndustryOil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks-4.51%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts3519
Avg Price Target$262.67$249.20$212.84
Last Closing Price$263.02$263.02$263.02
Upside/Downside-0.13%-5.25%-19.08%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
May, 26468-119
Apr, 26468-119
Mar, 26469--19
Feb, 26469--19
Jan, 26469--19
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
May 06, 2026UBS$285.00$249.3214.31%8.36%
May 06, 2026Barclays$270.00$260.513.64%2.65%
Apr 24, 2026Joe LaetschMorgan Stanley$233.00$221.105.38%-11.41%
Apr 10, 2026Barclays$230.00$220.274.42%-12.55%
Apr 09, 2026Piper Sandler$228.00$223.522.00%-13.31%
Feb 09, 2026Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital$225.00$203.9110.34%-14.46%
Feb 06, 2026Manav GuptaUBS$221.00$203.638.53%-15.98%
Feb 04, 2026Wells Fargo$217.00$187.5815.68%-17.50%
Jan 16, 2026Paul ChengScotiabank$174.00$176.11-1.20%-33.85%
Jan 13, 2026Mizuho Securities$205.00$175.5416.78%-22.06%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
May 06, 2026Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformhold
May 06, 2026Cowen & Co.BuyBuyhold
May 06, 2026CitigroupNeutralNeutralhold
May 06, 2026BarclaysOverweightOverweighthold
Apr 24, 2026Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweighthold
Apr 10, 2026CitigroupNeutralNeutralhold
Apr 10, 2026BarclaysOverweightOverweighthold
Feb 09, 2026BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformhold
Feb 09, 2026CitigroupNeutralNeutralhold
Feb 06, 2026UBSBuyBuyhold

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

$0 $7 $14 $21 $28 $35 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$2.71$28.34$23.76$10.12$13.27---
Avg Forecast$1.75$25.41$21.92$8.68$8.26$12.01$13.80$16.57
High Forecast$2.11$31.10$22.46$9.76$10.87$17.09$18.40$22.25
Low Forecast$1.29$19.15$21.51$8.23$6.82$9.41$9.20$9.76
Surprise %54.86%11.53%8.39%16.59%60.65%---

Revenue Forecast

$50B $130B $210B $290B $370B $450B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$119.98B$177.45B$148.38B$138.86B$132.54B---
Avg Forecast$107.96B$174.22B$148.44B$135.41B$135.44B$133.29B$117.87B$323.64B
High Forecast$125.50B$204.24B$155.17B$144.54B$175.76B$134.92B$148.97B$409.02B
Low Forecast$86.12B$141.24B$141.53B$126.28B$95.12B$131.66B$80.62B$221.36B
Surprise %11.13%1.86%-0.04%2.55%-2.14%---

Net Income Forecast

$0 $3B $6B $9B $12B $15B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$9.74B$14.52B$9.68B$3.44B$4.05B---
Avg Forecast$5.78B$6.18B$9.67B$3.68B$3.62B$5.42B$4.01B$6.78B
High Forecast$7.09B$7.42B$11.61B$3.99B$4.44B$6.99B$7.52B$9.10B
Low Forecast$4.48B$4.95B$7.74B$3.37B$2.79B$3.85B$3.76B$3.99B
Surprise %68.37%134.75%0.09%-6.40%11.88%---

MPC Forecast FAQ

Is Marathon Petroleum stock a buy?

Marathon Petroleum stock has a consensus rating of Buy, based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy, 25 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Marathon Petroleum is a favorable investment for most analysts.

What is Marathon Petroleum's price target?

Marathon Petroleum's price target, set by 33 Wall Street analysts, averages $229.63 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $174 at the low end to $285 at the high end, suggesting a potential -12.69% change from the previous closing price of $263.02.

How does Marathon Petroleum stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Marathon Petroleum's stock forecast shows a -12.69% downside, underperforming the average forecast for the energy stocks sector (-1.20%) and underperforming the oil & gas refining & marketing stocks industry (-4.51%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Marathon Petroleum over the past three months?

  • May 2026: 21.05% Strong Buy, 31.58% Buy, 42.11% Hold, 0% Sell, 5.26% Strong Sell.
  • April 2026: 21.05% Strong Buy, 31.58% Buy, 42.11% Hold, 0% Sell, 5.26% Strong Sell.
  • March 2026: 21.05% Strong Buy, 31.58% Buy, 47.37% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.

What is Marathon Petroleum’s EPS forecast?

Marathon Petroleum's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $12.01, marking a -9.50% decrease from the reported $13.27 in 2025. Estimates for the following years are $13.8 in 2027, and $16.57 in 2028.

What is Marathon Petroleum’s revenue forecast?

Marathon Petroleum's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $133.29B, reflecting a 0.56% increase from the reported $132.54B in 2025. The forecast for 2027 is $117.87B, and $323.64B for 2028.

What is Marathon Petroleum’s net income forecast?

Marathon Petroleum's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2026 stands at $5.42B, representing an 33.89% increase from the reported $4.05B in 2025. Projections indicate $4.01B in 2027, and $6.78B in 2028.