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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

MPC Stock Forecast

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock forecast, based on 33 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $202.22, with a high of $225.00 and a low of $174.00. This represents a -10.81% decline from the last price of $226.74.

$135 $154 $173 $192 $211 $230 High: $225 Avg: $202.22 Low: $174 Last Closed Price: $226.74

MPC Stock Rating

Marathon Petroleum stock's rating consensus is Buy, based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy (0.00%), 25 Buy (75.76%), 8 Hold (24.24%), 0 Sell (0.00%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Buy
Total 33 0 8 25 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

MPC Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockMarathon Petroleum-10.81%
SectorEnergy Stocks 0.21%
IndustryOil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks-5.15%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts-616
Avg Price Target-$204.33$197.00
Last Closing Price$226.74$226.74$226.74
Upside/Downside--9.88%-13.12%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Mar, 26469--19
Feb, 26469--19
Jan, 26469--19
Dec, 25469--19
Nov, 254610--20
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Feb 09, 2026Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital$225.00$203.9110.34%-0.77%
Feb 06, 2026Manav GuptaUBS$221.00$203.638.53%-2.53%
Feb 04, 2026Wells Fargo$217.00$187.5815.68%-4.30%
Jan 16, 2026Paul ChengScotiabank$174.00$176.11-1.20%-23.26%
Jan 13, 2026Mizuho Securities$205.00$175.5416.78%-9.59%
Jan 08, 2026Piper Sandler$184.00$172.516.66%-18.85%
Dec 12, 2025Mizuho Securities$196.00$186.974.83%-13.56%
Nov 04, 2025Justin JenkinsRaymond James$200.00$184.548.38%-11.79%
Oct 17, 2025Justin JenkinsRaymond James$203.00$181.1512.06%-10.47%
Oct 13, 2025Theresa ChenBarclays$194.00$180.897.25%-14.44%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Feb 09, 2026BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformhold
Feb 09, 2026CitigroupNeutralNeutralhold
Feb 06, 2026UBSBuyBuyhold
Feb 04, 2026Cowen & Co.BuyBuyhold
Feb 04, 2026Wells FargoOverweightOverweighthold
Jan 16, 2026ScotiabankOutperformOutperformhold
Jan 13, 2026BarclaysOverweightOverweighthold
Dec 09, 2025BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformhold
Oct 17, 2025Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformhold
Oct 13, 2025BarclaysOverweightOverweighthold

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

$0 $7 $14 $21 $28 $35 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$2.71$28.34$23.76$10.12$13.27---
Avg Forecast$1.75$25.41$21.92$8.68$8.26$12.01$13.80$16.57
High Forecast$2.11$31.10$22.46$9.76$10.87$17.09$18.40$22.25
Low Forecast$1.29$19.15$21.51$8.23$6.82$9.41$9.20$9.76
Surprise %54.86%11.53%8.39%16.59%60.65%---

Revenue Forecast

$50B $130B $210B $290B $370B $450B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$119.98B$177.45B$148.38B$138.86B$132.54B---
Avg Forecast$107.96B$174.22B$148.44B$135.41B$135.44B$133.29B$117.87B$323.64B
High Forecast$125.50B$204.24B$155.17B$144.54B$175.76B$134.92B$148.97B$409.02B
Low Forecast$86.12B$141.24B$141.53B$126.28B$95.12B$131.66B$80.62B$221.36B
Surprise %11.13%1.86%-0.04%2.55%-2.14%---

Net Income Forecast

$0 $3B $6B $9B $12B $15B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$9.74B$14.52B$9.68B$3.44B$4.05B---
Avg Forecast$5.78B$6.18B$9.67B$3.68B$3.62B$5.42B$4.01B$6.78B
High Forecast$7.09B$7.42B$11.61B$3.99B$4.44B$6.99B$7.52B$9.10B
Low Forecast$4.48B$4.95B$7.74B$3.37B$2.79B$3.85B$3.76B$3.99B
Surprise %68.37%134.75%0.09%-6.40%11.88%---

MPC Forecast FAQ

Is Marathon Petroleum stock a buy?

Marathon Petroleum stock has a consensus rating of Buy, based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy, 25 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Marathon Petroleum is a favorable investment for most analysts.

What is Marathon Petroleum's price target?

Marathon Petroleum's price target, set by 33 Wall Street analysts, averages $202.22 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $174 at the low end to $225 at the high end, suggesting a potential -10.81% change from the previous closing price of $226.74.

How does Marathon Petroleum stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Marathon Petroleum's stock forecast shows a -10.81% downside, underperforming the average forecast for the energy stocks sector (0.21%) and underperforming the oil & gas refining & marketing stocks industry (-5.15%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Marathon Petroleum over the past three months?

  • March 2026: 21.05% Strong Buy, 31.58% Buy, 47.37% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • February 2026: 21.05% Strong Buy, 31.58% Buy, 47.37% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • January 2026: 21.05% Strong Buy, 31.58% Buy, 47.37% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.

What is Marathon Petroleum’s EPS forecast?

Marathon Petroleum's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $12.01, marking a -9.50% decrease from the reported $13.27 in 2025. Estimates for the following years are $13.8 in 2027, and $16.57 in 2028.

What is Marathon Petroleum’s revenue forecast?

Marathon Petroleum's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $133.29B, reflecting a 0.56% increase from the reported $132.54B in 2025. The forecast for 2027 is $117.87B, and $323.64B for 2028.

What is Marathon Petroleum’s net income forecast?

Marathon Petroleum's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2026 stands at $5.42B, representing an 33.89% increase from the reported $4.05B in 2025. Projections indicate $4.01B in 2027, and $6.78B in 2028.