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Marathon Petroleum (MPC) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

MPC Stock Forecast

Marathon Petroleum (MPC) stock forecast, based on 33 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $195.57, with a high of $220.00 and a low of $170.00. This represents a 4.60% increase from the last price of $186.97.

$135 $152 $169 $186 $203 $220 High: $220 Avg: $195.57 Low: $170 Last Closed Price: $186.97

MPC Stock Rating

Marathon Petroleum stock's rating consensus is Buy, based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy (0.00%), 25 Buy (75.76%), 8 Hold (24.24%), 0 Sell (0.00%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Buy
Total 33 0 8 25 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

MPC Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockMarathon Petroleum4.60%
SectorEnergy Stocks 19.23%
IndustryOil & Gas Refining & Marketing Stocks7.39%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts1711
Avg Price Target$196.00$200.29$190.91
Last Closing Price$186.97$186.97$186.97
Upside/Downside4.83%7.12%2.11%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Dec, 25469--19
Nov, 254610--20
Oct, 254510--19
Sep, 254510--19
Aug, 254510--19
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Dec 12, 2025Mizuho Securities$196.00$186.974.83%4.83%
Nov 04, 2025Justin JenkinsRaymond James$200.00$184.548.38%6.97%
Oct 17, 2025Justin JenkinsRaymond James$203.00$181.1512.06%8.57%
Oct 13, 2025Theresa ChenBarclays$194.00$180.897.25%3.76%
Oct 09, 2025Scotiabank$189.00$189.06-0.03%1.09%
Oct 03, 2025Morgan Stanley$200.00$192.244.04%6.97%
Sep 26, 2025UBS$220.00$196.4411.99%17.67%
Jun 18, 2025Stephen RichardsonEvercore ISI$170.00$167.421.54%-9.08%
Mar 27, 2025Raymond James$193.00$147.3530.98%3.23%
Mar 14, 2025Barclays$161.00$141.1514.06%-13.89%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Dec 09, 2025BMO CapitalOutperformOutperformhold
Oct 17, 2025Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformhold
Oct 13, 2025BarclaysOverweightOverweighthold
Oct 09, 2025ScotiabankOutperformOutperformhold
Oct 03, 2025Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweighthold
Sep 26, 2025UBSBuyBuyhold
Sep 09, 2025Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformhold
Jul 15, 2025Raymond JamesStrong BuyOutperformdowngrade
Jul 11, 2025ScotiabankOutperformOutperformhold
Jul 10, 2025Piper SandlerNeutralNeutralhold

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

$-20 $-9 $2 $13 $24 $35 Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$-17.00$2.03$28.34$23.76$10.13----
Avg Forecast$-3.89$1.75$25.41$21.92$8.68$8.26$12.01$13.80$16.57
High Forecast$-2.87$2.11$31.10$22.46$9.76$10.87$17.09$18.40$22.25
Low Forecast$-4.72$1.29$19.15$21.51$8.23$6.82$9.41$9.20$9.76
Surprise %337.02%16.00%11.53%8.39%16.71%----

Revenue Forecast

$50B $130B $210B $290B $370B $450B Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$69.90B$120.45B$178.24B$149.35B$140.41B----
Avg Forecast$69.68B$107.96B$174.22B$148.44B$135.41B$135.44B$133.29B$117.87B$323.64B
High Forecast$81.00B$125.50B$204.24B$155.17B$144.54B$175.76B$134.92B$148.97B$409.02B
Low Forecast$55.58B$86.12B$141.24B$141.53B$126.28B$95.12B$131.66B$80.62B$221.36B
Surprise %0.31%11.57%2.31%0.61%3.70%----

Net Income Forecast

$-20B $-13B $-6B $1B $8B $15B Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27 Dec 28
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27Dec 28
Reported$-11.03B$1.29B$14.52B$9.68B$3.44B----
Avg Forecast$-13.07B$5.78B$6.18B$9.67B$3.68B$3.62B$5.42B$4.01B$6.78B
High Forecast$-10.30B$7.09B$7.42B$11.61B$3.99B$4.44B$6.99B$7.52B$9.10B
Low Forecast$-15.84B$4.48B$4.95B$7.74B$3.37B$2.79B$3.85B$3.76B$3.99B
Surprise %-15.57%-77.73%134.75%0.09%-6.40%----

MPC Forecast FAQ

Is Marathon Petroleum stock a buy?

Marathon Petroleum stock has a consensus rating of Buy, based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy, 25 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Marathon Petroleum is a favorable investment for most analysts.

What is Marathon Petroleum's price target?

Marathon Petroleum's price target, set by 33 Wall Street analysts, averages $195.57 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $170 at the low end to $220 at the high end, suggesting a potential 4.60% change from the previous closing price of $186.97.

How does Marathon Petroleum stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Marathon Petroleum's stock forecast shows a 4.60% upside, underperforming the average forecast for the energy stocks sector (19.23%) and underperforming the oil & gas refining & marketing stocks industry (7.39%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Marathon Petroleum over the past three months?

  • December 2025: 21.05% Strong Buy, 31.58% Buy, 47.37% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • November 2025: 20.00% Strong Buy, 30.00% Buy, 50.00% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • October 2025: 21.05% Strong Buy, 26.32% Buy, 52.63% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.

What is Marathon Petroleum’s EPS forecast?

Marathon Petroleum's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $8.26, marking a -18.46% decrease from the reported $10.13 in 2024. Estimates for the following years are $12.01 in 2026, $13.8 in 2027, and $16.57 in 2028.

What is Marathon Petroleum’s revenue forecast?

Marathon Petroleum's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $135.44B, reflecting a -3.54% decrease from the reported $140.41B in 2024. The forecast for 2026 is $133.29B, followed by $117.87B for 2027, and $323.64B for 2028.

What is Marathon Petroleum’s net income forecast?

Marathon Petroleum's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2025 stands at $3.62B, representing an 5.00% increase from the reported $3.44B in 2024. Projections indicate $5.42B in 2026, $4.01B in 2027, and $6.78B in 2028.