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Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

MSDL Stock Forecast

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) stock forecast, based on 6 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $17.50, with a high of $18.50 and a low of $16.00. This represents a 19.78% increase from the last price of $14.61.

$14 $15 $16 $17 $18 $19 $20 $21 $22 High: $18.5 Avg: $17.5 Low: $16 Last Closed Price: $14.61

MSDL Stock Rating

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund stock's rating consensus is Hold, based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy (0.00%), 0 Buy (0.00%), 6 Hold (100.00%), 0 Sell (0.00%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Hold
Total 6 0 6 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

MSDL Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockMorgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund19.78%
IndustryFinancial Conglomerates Stocks16.06%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts129
Avg Price Target$17.00$16.50$17.56
Last Closing Price$14.61$14.61$14.61
Upside/Downside16.36%12.94%20.19%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Mar, 26115--7
Feb, 26115--7
Jan, 26124--7
Dec, 25124--7
Nov, 25223--7
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Mar 05, 2026Robert DoddRaymond James$17.00$14.8414.56%16.36%
Jan 07, 2026Finian O'SheaWells Fargo$16.00$16.75-4.48%9.51%
Nov 26, 2025Kenneth LeeRBC Capital$18.00$17.244.41%23.20%
Oct 14, 2025UBS$18.00$17.065.51%23.20%
Oct 10, 2025Ethan KayeMorgan Stanley$18.50$16.3013.50%26.63%
Oct 07, 2025Raymond James$18.50$16.5711.65%26.63%
Oct 06, 2025Wells Fargo$17.00$16.304.29%16.36%
Oct 01, 2025Melissa WedelMorgan Stanley$16.00$16.08-0.50%9.51%
Sep 10, 2025RBC Capital$19.00$17.687.47%30.05%
May 23, 2024Kenneth LeeRBC Capital$23.00$21.895.07%57.43%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Mar 05, 2026Raymond JamesOutperformOutperformhold
Nov 26, 2025RBC CapitalOutperformSector Performdowngrade
Oct 10, 2025Morgan StanleyNeutralBuyinitialise
Oct 07, 2025Raymond JamesMarket PerformOutperformupgrade
Oct 06, 2025Wells FargoEqual-WeightOverweightupgrade
Oct 01, 2025Morgan StanleyNeutralNeutralhold
Sep 13, 2024Morgan StanleyUnderperformUnderperformhold
Jul 18, 2024UBSNeutraldowngrade
May 23, 2024RBC CapitalOutperformOutperformhold
May 13, 2024Raymond JamesMarket Performdowngrade

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26
Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26
Reported$2.62$2.43$1.40-
Avg Forecast$2.66$2.54$2.26$2.14
High Forecast$2.73$2.56$2.28$2.20
Low Forecast$2.59$2.51$2.23$2.09
Surprise %-1.50%-4.33%-38.05%-

Revenue Forecast

$325M $345M $365M $385M $405M $425M Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26
Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26
Reported$328.13M$332.52M$397.29M-
Avg Forecast$364.89M$420.09M$413.16M$365.12M
High Forecast$372.16M$421.48M$416.62M$372.40M
Low Forecast$357.62M$418.69M$409.70M$357.85M
Surprise %-10.07%-20.84%-3.84%-

Net Income Forecast

$175M $189M $203M $217M $231M $245M Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26
Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26
Reported$231.01M$215.56M$178.84M-
Avg Forecast$234.92M$224.15M$199.34M$189.32M
High Forecast$241.00M$225.90M$201.02M$194.22M
Low Forecast$228.83M$221.52M$196.82M$184.41M
Surprise %-1.66%-3.83%-10.28%-

MSDL Forecast FAQ

Is Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund stock a buy?

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund stock has a consensus rating of Hold, based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 0 Strong Buy, 0 Buy, 6 Hold, 0 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund is a neutral investment for most analysts.

What is Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's price target?

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's price target, set by 6 Wall Street analysts, averages $17.5 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $16 at the low end to $18.5 at the high end, suggesting a potential 19.78% change from the previous closing price of $14.61.

How does Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's stock forecast shows a 19.78% upside, outperforming the financial conglomerates stocks industry (16.06%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund over the past three months?

  • March 2026: 14.29% Strong Buy, 14.29% Buy, 71.43% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • February 2026: 14.29% Strong Buy, 14.29% Buy, 71.43% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.
  • January 2026: 14.29% Strong Buy, 28.57% Buy, 57.14% Hold, 0% Sell, 0% Strong Sell.

What is Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund’s EPS forecast?

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $2.14, marking a 52.86% increase from the reported $1.4 in 2025..

What is Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund’s revenue forecast?

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $365.12M, reflecting a -8.10% decrease from the reported $397.29M in 2025.

What is Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund’s net income forecast?

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2026 stands at $189.32M, representing an 5.86% increase from the reported $178.84M in 2025.