Alcoa (AA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions
AA Stock Forecast
Alcoa (AA) stock forecast, based on 42 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $65.50, with a high of $75.00 and a low of $53.00. This represents a 48.59% increase from the last price of $44.08.
AA Stock Rating
Alcoa stock's rating consensus is Buy, based on 42 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy (2.38%), 22 Buy (52.38%), 18 Hold (42.86%), 1 Sell (2.38%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).
Buy
AA Price Target Upside V Benchmarks
| Type | Name | Upside |
|---|---|---|
| Stock | Alcoa | 48.59% |
| Sector | Basic Materials Stocks | 17.76% |
Price Target Trends
| 1M | 3M | 12M | |
|---|---|---|---|
| # Anlaysts | 5 | 8 | 23 |
| Avg Price Target | $63.60 | $68.38 | $61.39 |
| Last Closing Price | $44.08 | $44.08 | $44.08 |
| Upside/Downside | 44.28% | 55.13% | 39.27% |
Ratings Trends
| Date | Strong Buy | Buy | Hold | Sell | Strong Sell | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul, 26 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - | - | 12 |
| Jun, 26 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - | 2 | 14 |
| May, 26 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - | 2 | 14 |
| Apr, 26 | - | 7 | 5 | - | 2 | 14 |
| Mar, 26 | - | 6 | 4 | - | 3 | 13 |
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
| Date | Analyst | Company | Price Target | Price when Published | Price Target/Price when Published | Price Target/Last Closing Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Argus Research | $55.00 | $46.28 | 18.84% | 24.77% | |
| Jul 09, 2026 | Wells Fargo | $72.00 | $48.48 | 48.51% | 63.34% | |
| Jul 08, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | $53.00 | $49.01 | 8.14% | 20.24% | |
| Jul 01, 2026 | RBC Capital | $70.00 | $52.14 | 34.25% | 58.80% | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | UBS | $68.00 | $54.17 | 25.53% | 54.26% | |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | $79.00 | $65.55 | 20.52% | 79.22% | |
| May 22, 2026 | Daniel Major | UBS | $80.00 | $66.27 | 20.72% | 81.49% |
| May 07, 2026 | Wells Fargo | $70.00 | $63.25 | 10.67% | 58.80% | |
| Apr 27, 2026 | John Eade | Argus Research | $73.00 | $65.91 | 10.76% | 65.61% |
| Apr 09, 2026 | BMO Capital | $75.00 | $73.27 | 2.36% | 70.15% |
Analyst Rating Forecasts
| Date | Company | Previous Rating | New Rating | Rating Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2026 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | hold |
| Jul 01, 2026 | Wedbush | Sector Perform | downgrade | |
| Jul 01, 2026 | B. Riley | Buy | Buy | hold |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | hold |
| May 22, 2026 | UBS | Neutral | Buy | upgrade |
| May 07, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | upgrade |
| Apr 09, 2026 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Market Perform | hold |
| Apr 08, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Outperform | Overweight | upgrade |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Outperform | downgrade |
| Jan 23, 2026 | B. Riley | Buy | Buy | hold |
Financial Forecast
EPS Forecast
Annual
| Dec 21 | Dec 22 | Dec 23 | Dec 24 | Dec 25 | Dec 26 | Dec 27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | $2.30 | $-0.57 | $-3.65 | $0.28 | $4.47 | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $6.23 | $4.74 | $-2.61 | $1.10 | $4.21 | $3.35 | $3.52 |
| High Forecast | $6.62 | $5.55 | $-2.18 | $1.45 | $5.34 | $4.20 | $4.13 |
| Low Forecast | $5.83 | $4.09 | $-2.92 | $0.75 | $3.12 | $1.92 | $2.96 |
| Surprise % | -63.08% | -112.03% | 39.85% | -74.55% | 6.18% | - | - |
Revenue Forecast
Annual
| Dec 21 | Dec 22 | Dec 23 | Dec 24 | Dec 25 | Dec 26 | Dec 27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | $12.44B | $12.76B | $10.71B | $12.18B | $12.74B | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $12.21B | $12.52B | $10.56B | $11.75B | $13.29B | $12.51B | $12.13B |
| High Forecast | $12.80B | $14.16B | $10.64B | $11.97B | $14.09B | $13.40B | $12.67B |
| Low Forecast | $11.61B | $11.19B | $10.49B | $11.61B | $12.40B | $11.62B | $11.59B |
| Surprise % | 1.88% | 1.92% | 1.37% | 3.70% | -4.20% | - | - |
Net Income Forecast
Annual
| Dec 21 | Dec 22 | Dec 23 | Dec 24 | Dec 25 | Dec 26 | Dec 27 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported | $429.00M | $-123.00M | $-651.00M | $60.00M | $1.15B | - | - |
| Avg Forecast | $409.12M | $1.02B | $-651.00M | $234.02M | $975.19M | $882.41M | $753.46M |
| High Forecast | $598.23M | $1.34B | $-445.33M | $308.71M | $1.13B | $892.55M | $877.32M |
| Low Forecast | $220.01M | $696.39M | $-856.67M | $159.33M | $662.30M | $408.15M | $629.61M |
| Surprise % | 4.86% | -112.08% | - | -74.36% | 17.72% | - | - |