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Alcoa (AA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

AA Stock Forecast

Alcoa (AA) stock forecast, based on 42 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $60.43, with a high of $70.00 and a low of $53.00. This represents a 59.40% increase from the last price of $37.91.

$35 $44 $53 $62 $71 $80 High: $70 Avg: $60.43 Low: $53 Last Closed Price: $37.91

AA Stock Rating

Alcoa stock's rating consensus is Buy, based on 42 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy (2.38%), 21 Buy (50.00%), 19 Hold (45.24%), 1 Sell (2.38%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Buy
Total 42 1 19 21 1 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

AA Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockAlcoa59.40%
SectorBasic Materials Stocks 20.59%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts2322
Avg Price Target$58.50$59.00$64.64
Last Closing Price$37.91$37.91$37.91
Upside/Downside54.31%55.63%70.51%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Oct, 26183-113
Sep, 26-84-113
Aug, 26-75-113
Jul, 26183--12
Jun, 26192-214
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 20, 2026D.A. Davidson$62.00$41.1250.78%63.55%
Oct 14, 2026Richard GarchitorenaBarclays$55.00$41.4932.56%45.08%
Sep 18, 2026Wells Fargo$60.00$46.9727.74%58.27%
Jul 22, 2026Argus Research$55.00$46.2818.84%45.08%
Jul 09, 2026Wells Fargo$72.00$48.4848.51%89.92%
Jul 08, 2026Morgan Stanley$53.00$49.018.14%39.80%
Jul 01, 2026RBC Capital$70.00$52.1434.25%84.65%
Jun 30, 2026UBS$68.00$54.1725.53%79.37%
Jun 11, 2026Morgan Stanley$79.00$65.5520.52%108.39%
May 22, 2026Daniel MajorUBS$80.00$66.2720.72%111.03%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 16, 2026Wells FargoOverweightOverweighthold
Oct 14, 2026BarclaysOverweightinitialise
Jul 17, 2026BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket Performhold
Jul 01, 2026WedbushSector Performdowngrade
Jul 01, 2026B. RileyBuyBuyhold
Jun 25, 2026Wells FargoOverweightOverweighthold
May 22, 2026UBSNeutralBuyupgrade
May 07, 2026Wells FargoOverweightOverweightupgrade
Apr 09, 2026BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket Performhold
Apr 08, 2026Morgan StanleyOutperformOverweightupgrade

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

$-5 $-2 $1 $4 $7 $10 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27
Reported$2.30$-0.57$-3.65$0.28$4.47--
Avg Forecast$6.23$4.74$-2.61$1.10$4.21$3.35$3.52
High Forecast$6.62$5.55$-2.18$1.45$5.34$4.20$4.13
Low Forecast$5.83$4.09$-2.92$0.75$3.12$1.92$2.96
Surprise %-63.08%-112.03%39.85%-74.55%6.18%--

Revenue Forecast

$10B $11B $12B $13B $14B $15B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27
Reported$12.44B$12.76B$10.71B$12.18B$12.74B--
Avg Forecast$12.21B$12.52B$10.56B$11.75B$13.29B$12.51B$12.13B
High Forecast$12.80B$14.16B$10.64B$11.97B$14.09B$13.40B$12.67B
Low Forecast$11.61B$11.19B$10.49B$11.61B$12.40B$11.62B$11.59B
Surprise %1.88%1.92%1.37%3.70%-4.20%--

Net Income Forecast

$-1B $-500M $0 $500M $1B $2B Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27
Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27
Reported$429.00M$-123.00M$-651.00M$60.00M$1.15B--
Avg Forecast$409.12M$1.02B$-651.00M$234.02M$975.19M$882.41M$753.46M
High Forecast$598.23M$1.34B$-445.33M$308.71M$1.13B$892.55M$877.32M
Low Forecast$220.01M$696.39M$-856.67M$159.33M$662.30M$408.15M$629.61M
Surprise %4.86%-112.08%--74.36%17.72%--

AA Forecast FAQ

Is Alcoa stock a buy?

Alcoa stock has a consensus rating of Buy, based on 42 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy, 21 Buy, 19 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Alcoa is a favorable investment for most analysts.

What is Alcoa's price target?

Alcoa's price target, set by 42 Wall Street analysts, averages $60.43 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $53 at the low end to $70 at the high end, suggesting a potential 59.40% change from the previous closing price of $37.91.

How does Alcoa stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Alcoa's stock forecast shows a 59.40% upside, outperforming the average forecast for the basic materials stocks sector (20.59%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Alcoa over the past three months?

  • October 2026: 7.69% Strong Buy, 61.54% Buy, 23.08% Hold, 0% Sell, 7.69% Strong Sell.
  • September 2026: 0% Strong Buy, 61.54% Buy, 30.77% Hold, 0% Sell, 7.69% Strong Sell.
  • August 2026: 0% Strong Buy, 53.85% Buy, 38.46% Hold, 0% Sell, 7.69% Strong Sell.

What is Alcoa’s EPS forecast?

Alcoa's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $3.35, marking a -25.06% decrease from the reported $4.47 in 2025. Estimates for the following years are.

What is Alcoa’s revenue forecast?

Alcoa's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2026 is $12.51B, reflecting a -1.79% decrease from the reported $12.74B in 2025. The forecast for.

What is Alcoa’s net income forecast?

Alcoa's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2026 stands at $882.41M, representing a -23.13% decrease from the reported $1.15B in 2025. Projections indicate .