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Alcoa (AA) Stock Forecast, Price Target & Predictions

OverviewRevenueOwnershipFinancialsChartTranscripts

AA Stock Forecast

Alcoa (AA) stock forecast, based on 41 Wall Street analysts, predicts a 12-month average price target of $38.88, with a high of $43.50 and a low of $31.00. This represents a -1.09% decline from the last price of $39.31.

$25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 High: $43.5 Avg: $38.88 Low: $31 Last Closed Price: $39.31

AA Stock Rating

Alcoa stock's rating consensus is Buy, based on 41 Wall Street analysts. The breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy (2.44%), 21 Buy (51.22%), 18 Hold (43.90%), 1 Sell (2.44%), and 0 Strong Sell (0.00%).

Buy
Total 41 1 18 21 1 Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy

AA Price Target Upside V Benchmarks

TypeNameUpside
StockAlcoa-1.09%
SectorBasic Materials Stocks 16.42%

Price Target Trends

1M3M12M
# Anlaysts445
Avg Price Target$41.75$41.75$39.60
Last Closing Price$39.31$39.31$39.31
Upside/Downside6.21%6.21%0.74%
Ratings Trends
DateStrong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong SellTotal
Oct, 25263-112
Sep, 25254-112
Aug, 25254-112
Jul, 25274-114
Jun, 25274-114
Analyst Price Target Forecasts
DateAnalystCompanyPrice TargetPrice when PublishedPrice Target/Price when PublishedPrice Target/Last Closing Price
Oct 24, 2025Morgan Stanley$43.50$40.148.37%10.66%
Oct 17, 2025HSBC$41.00$37.1310.42%4.30%
Oct 08, 2025Morgan Stanley$42.50$35.5319.62%8.11%
Oct 07, 2025Wells Fargo$40.00$35.5312.58%1.76%
May 15, 2025Daniel MajorUBS$31.00$28.678.13%-21.14%
Oct 17, 2024Katja JancicBMO Capital$45.00$42.076.96%14.47%
Oct 17, 2024Derek HernandezB.Riley Financial$50.00$42.0718.85%27.19%
Oct 17, 2024Christopher LaFeminaJefferies$50.00$42.0718.85%27.19%
Oct 09, 2024Timna TannersWolfe Research$41.00$37.738.67%4.30%
Oct 01, 2024Lawson WinderBank of America Securities$52.00$39.4531.81%32.28%
Analyst Rating Forecasts
DateCompanyPrevious RatingNew RatingRating Change
Oct 23, 2025BMO CapitalMarket PerformMarket Performhold
Oct 23, 2025Bank of America SecuritiesUnderperformUnderperformhold
Oct 17, 2025HSBCBuyBuyhold
Oct 08, 2025Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweighthold
Oct 07, 2025Wells FargoUnderweightOverweightinitialise
Sep 19, 2025UBSNeutralNeutralhold
Sep 09, 2025B. RileyBuyBuyhold
Jun 24, 2025B. RileyBuyBuyhold
May 15, 2025UBSBuyNeutraldowngrade
Dec 11, 2024Morgan StanleyOverweightOverweighthold

Financial Forecast

EPS Forecast

$-5 $-2 $1 $4 $7 $10 Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27
Reported$-0.91$2.30$-0.57$-3.65$0.26---
Avg Forecast$-1.32$6.23$4.74$-2.61$1.10$4.21$3.35$3.52
High Forecast$-1.24$6.62$5.55$-2.18$1.45$5.34$4.20$4.13
Low Forecast$-1.40$5.83$4.09$-2.92$0.75$3.12$1.92$2.96
Surprise %-31.06%-63.08%-112.03%39.85%-76.36%---

Revenue Forecast

$9B $10B $11B $12B $13B $15B Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27
Reported$9.29B$12.15B$12.45B$10.55B$11.89B---
Avg Forecast$9.29B$12.21B$12.52B$10.56B$11.75B$13.29B$12.51B$12.13B
High Forecast$9.74B$12.80B$14.16B$10.64B$11.97B$14.09B$13.40B$12.67B
Low Forecast$8.83B$11.61B$11.19B$10.49B$11.61B$12.40B$11.62B$11.59B
Surprise %-0.01%-0.45%-0.56%-0.09%1.24%---

Net Income Forecast

$-1B $-500M $0 $500M $1B $2B Dec 20 Dec 21 Dec 22 Dec 23 Dec 24 Dec 25 Dec 26 Dec 27
Dec 20Dec 21Dec 22Dec 23Dec 24Dec 25Dec 26Dec 27
Reported$-170.00M$429.00M$-123.00M$-651.00M$60.00M---
Avg Forecast$-319.99M$409.12M$1.02B$-651.00M$234.02M$975.19M$882.41M$753.46M
High Forecast$-222.66M$598.23M$1.34B$-445.33M$308.71M$1.13B$892.55M$877.32M
Low Forecast$-417.32M$220.01M$696.39M$-856.67M$159.33M$662.30M$408.15M$629.61M
Surprise %-46.87%4.86%-112.08%--74.36%---

AA Forecast FAQ

Is Alcoa stock a buy?

Alcoa stock has a consensus rating of Buy, based on 41 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown includes 1 Strong Buy, 21 Buy, 18 Hold, 1 Sell, and 0 Strong Sell, reflecting a consensus that Alcoa is a favorable investment for most analysts.

What is Alcoa's price target?

Alcoa's price target, set by 41 Wall Street analysts, averages $38.88 over the next 12 months. The price target range spans from $31 at the low end to $43.5 at the high end, suggesting a potential -1.09% change from the previous closing price of $39.31.

How does Alcoa stock forecast compare to its benchmarks?

Alcoa's stock forecast shows a -1.09% downside, underperforming the average forecast for the basic materials stocks sector (16.42%).

What is the breakdown of analyst ratings for Alcoa over the past three months?

  • October 2025: 16.67% Strong Buy, 50.00% Buy, 25.00% Hold, 0% Sell, 8.33% Strong Sell.
  • September 2025: 16.67% Strong Buy, 41.67% Buy, 33.33% Hold, 0% Sell, 8.33% Strong Sell.
  • August 2025: 16.67% Strong Buy, 41.67% Buy, 33.33% Hold, 0% Sell, 8.33% Strong Sell.

What is Alcoa’s EPS forecast?

Alcoa's average annual EPS forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $4.21, marking a 1519.23% increase from the reported $0.26 in 2024. Estimates for the following years are $3.35 in 2026, and $3.52 in 2027.

What is Alcoa’s revenue forecast?

Alcoa's average annual revenue forecast for its fiscal year ending in December 2025 is $13.29B, reflecting a 11.76% increase from the reported $11.9B in 2024. The forecast for 2026 is $12.51B, and $12.13B for 2027.

What is Alcoa’s net income forecast?

Alcoa's net income forecast for the fiscal year ending in December 2025 stands at $975.19M, representing an 1525.31% increase from the reported $60M in 2024. Projections indicate $882.41M in 2026, and $753.46M in 2027.